Brevard SA Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Florida BU11 · 9 teams · Brevard SA (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 5, 03:00 PM
Fred Poppe Regional Park, Field 2a ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.2 for, 1.7 against · 2.17 expected points)
| Season so far | Brevard SA Pre | Space Coast United Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-1 | 1-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.60 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 4.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W | L L W L L |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | 3–1 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White |
| Worst loss | 2–6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre | 1–9 at Sporting SA JAX Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.19 | -1.72 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.29 | +1.02 |
Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 — we 2–1; they 1–3. Sporting SA JAX Pre — we 2–6; they 1–9. FC America Pre — we 0–0; they 1–3.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Space Coast United Pre average 1.4 goals/game (league avg 3.2); blanked in 0 of 5.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at FC America Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 67% / draw 15% / loss 18%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 sit 5th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.33.A point moves us above Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Space Coast United Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Brevard SA Pre – Space Coast United Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Nov 30 – Sun Dec 6); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.75 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.75 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 5%
- 4th 30%
- 5th 33%
- 6th 27%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 1%
- 9th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.69 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black | 2.60 (+1.27) | 1st (2.45) | 38 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 2 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 2.50 (+1.17) | 2nd (2.40) | 36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | FC America Pre | 2.33 (+1.00) | 3rd (2.01) | 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 4 | Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red | 2.00 (+0.67) | 4th (1.47) | 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | 1.50 (+0.17) | 6th (1.41) | A point next game |
How the results connect
7 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Brevard SA Pre to Space Coast United Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.25 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 11 01:30 PM no score posted |
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
3–2 | 1.54 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 03:00 PM |
Space Coast United Pre 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -16 |
Home Fred Poppe Regional Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.17 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 30 12:30 PM |
Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Ormond Beach Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–3 | 1.18 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 03:00 PM |
Sporting SA GNV Pre 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -23 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
4–1 | 2.51 | 1.63 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 28 03:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 03:00 PM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.60 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 11:00 AM |
Sporting SA GNV Pre 9th · 0-0-4 · GD -23 |
Away far trip
Jonesville Soccer Park - GSA |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 1.57 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 03:00 PM |
FC America Pre 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.89 | 1.51 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +25 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.33 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 02:30 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 7th · 1-0-4 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–2 | 1.77 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 02:00 PM |
Space Coast United Pre 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -16 |
Away SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 03:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White 7th · 1-0-4 · GD -11 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.09 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 03:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +25 |
Home Max Rhodes Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.53 | 1.45 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 8 | +25 | 13 | 2.60 | WWDWW | -0.45 | -0.27 | 100% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White · Sat Nov 14 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red · Sat Nov 21 vs FC America Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 6 | +18 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -0.15 | -0.34 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 · Sat Nov 14 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC America Pre | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -1.68 | +0.17 | 95% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red · Sat Nov 21 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black · Sun Nov 22 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.61 | +0.17 | 40% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Brevard SA Pre · Sun Nov 1 at FC America Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.11 | +0.07 | 30% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Brevard SA Pre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | +1.29 | -0.25 | 35% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red · Sat Dec 5 vs Space Coast United Pre · Sat Jan 30 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre- White | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | -0.44 | +0.51 | 0% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Florida Kraze Krush Pre- Black · Sun Nov 22 vs FC America Pre · Sat Dec 12 at Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Space Coast United Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | +1.02 | -0.13 | 0% | 7.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Sporting SA GNV Pre · Sat Dec 5 at Brevard SA Pre · Sun Dec 6 at Ormond Beach Soccer Club PRE- Red See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Sporting SA GNV Pre | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 28 | -23 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.66 | +0.30 | 0% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Space Coast United Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 5 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre- 2 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.17 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.