TableChase Clubs

FC Westlake White

ECNL Regional League Girls · Texas GU16 · 14 teams · FC Westlake (all teams)

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9th
2-1-3 record · 6 played
1.17 points per game
+1 goal diff · 10–9
LLDLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
-0.51 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:00 PM

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FC Westlake White
9th · 1.17 PPG
at
Challenge
8th · 1.40 PPG

Burroughs Park, Field 4 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 0–0 (expected goals 0.8 for, 0.9 against · 1.20 expected points)

Season so farFC Westlake WhiteChallenge
Position9th8th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-32-1-2
Points per game1.171.40
Goals for / game1.70.6
Goals against / game1.50.4
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)W L D L LW L W L D
Biggest win7–0 vs DKSC2–0 at DKSC
Worst loss0–3 vs OK Energy FC Texas0–1 at Sting Black
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.04+0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.51-0.66

Common opponents: West Side Alliance — we 2–0; they 0–1. OK Energy FC Texas — we 0–3; they 1–0. Sting Black — we 0–3; they 0–1. DKSC — we 7–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Challenge average 0.6 goals/game (league avg 1.4); blanked in 3 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Hard to break down
    Challenge concede only 0.4/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 vs OK Energy FC Texas, 0–2 at Dallas Texans, 0–3 vs Sting Black.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (34%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Burroughs Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Challenge sit 8th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.17.

    A point moves us above Challenge on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Challenge game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Westlake White – Challenge) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.14 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.43 PPG
8th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
1.14 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–0 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 17%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 16%
  13. 13th 14%
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.15 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth 3.00 (+1.83) 1st (2.28) 32 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Albion Hurricanes FC 2.60 (+1.43) 3rd (2.24) 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Dallas Texans 2.57 (+1.40) 2nd (2.27) 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Sting Black 2.00 (+0.83) 4th (1.94) 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
5 Sting Royal 1.75 (+0.58) 5th (1.76) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
6 FC Westlake Blue 1.50 (+0.33) 6th (1.42) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
7 West Side Alliance 1.50 (+0.33) 7th (1.39) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
8 Challenge 1.40 (+0.23) 8th (1.27) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Westlake White to Challenge through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
6 favour them
+0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 1–0 2–0 1–0 0–3 0–1 7–0 0–2 0–3 0–0 0–5 0–2 2–3 1–2 1–1 7–0 10–0 0–3 FC Westlake White 9th Sting Black 4th West Side Alliance 7th OK Energy FC Texas 12th DKSC 14th Dallas Texans 3rd SOLAR SC 10th Albion Hurricanes FC 2nd Challenge 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.48 · 1st hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM
Challenge
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Burroughs Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
0–0 1.20 1.17 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +12
Away far trip
New Territory Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–2 0.47 1.08 Upside
Tue Nov 10
07:45 PM
FC Westlake Blue
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away far trip
Westlake High School Stadium - Chaparral Stadium · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.18 1.09 Upside
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
Lonestar SAT
11th · 1-2-3 · GD +1
Away far trip
Starcrest Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.24 1.11 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Lonestar ATX Royal
13th · 0-2-2 · GD -2
Away
Lakeline Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
0–0 1.42 1.14 Upside
Sat May 1
06:00 AM
Sting Royal
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 1.11 Upside
Sun May 2
11:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +10
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–2 0.43 1.06 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth 3300 122+10 93.00 WWW -0.14 -0.06 95% 2.3
2 Albion Hurricanes FC 5410 131+12 132.60 DWWWW -0.88 +0.44 95% 2.4
3 Dallas Texans 7601 224+18 182.57 WWWWW -0.44 +0.38 98% 2.2
4 Sting Black 6402 106+4 122.00 WWLWW +0.55 -0.52 65% 4.1
5 Sting Royal 4211 94+5 71.75 WWDL +0.26 -0.13 37% 4.9
6 FC Westlake Blue 4202 55+0 61.50 LWWL +0.12 +0.02 7% 7.1
7 West Side Alliance 8404 1021-11 121.50 WLLWL +0.44 -0.42 2% 7.4
8 Challenge 5212 32+1 71.40 DLWLW -0.66 +0.44 1% 8.2
9 FC Westlake White 6213 109+1 71.17 LLDLW -0.51 +0.48 0% 10.0
10 SOLAR SC 6132 97+2 61.00 DDLLD -0.37 +0.42 0% 10.0
11 Lonestar SAT 6123 87+1 50.83 LDLWL -0.50 +0.48 0% 10.8
12 OK Energy FC Texas 8134 39-6 60.75 LLDLL +0.44 -0.48 0% 11.1
13 Lonestar ATX Royal 4022 13-2 20.50 DLLD +0.11 +0.05 0% 10.6
14 DKSC 6006 035-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 +0.21 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.39 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.