TableChase Clubs

Ohio Galaxies FC

ECNL Regional League Girls · Ohio Valley GU16 · 8 teams · Ohio Galaxies FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 16 hours ago.
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6th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
50% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 12, 10:45 AM

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Ohio Galaxies FC
6th · 0.00 PPG
at
FC Pride Elite
1st · 0.00 PPG

Pride Performance Center (Turf), Field 1 ↗ · turf far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farOhio Galaxies FCFC Pride Elite
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Pride Elite average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:45 AM at Pride Performance Center (Turf).

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Ohio Elite SA sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Ohio Elite SA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Pride Elite game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ohio Galaxies FC – FC Pride Elite) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 4 8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 5 1st▲ up 5 7th▼ down 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 4 8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2 8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st
50% top 4
50% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st 13%
  2. 2nd 13%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 13%
  6. 6th 13%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Pride Elite 0.00 (+0.00) 2nd (1.41) Already ahead
2 Indy Eleven 0.00 (+0.00) 3rd (1.41) Already ahead
3 Lexington Sporting Club Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 1st (1.41) Already ahead
4 Mercury 0.00 (+0.00) 4th (1.41) Already ahead
5 Ohio Elite SA 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.41) Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Dec 12
10:45 AM
FC Pride Elite
1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Pride Performance Center (Turf) · turf
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Dec 19
11:45 AM
Ohio Elite SA
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Seven Hills School
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Feb 13
TBD
Racing Louisville Academy
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sun Feb 14
TBD
Tennessee SC
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:45 AM
Ohio Elite SA
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Waynesville High School
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.31 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Indy Eleven
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.30 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
FC Pride Elite
1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.34 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
02:00 PM
Lexington Sporting Club Academy
3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.37 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
02:00 PM
Mercury
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.39 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
02:00 PM
Racing Louisville Academy
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 PM
Tennessee SC
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.42 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Lexington Sporting Club Academy
3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.41 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Mercury
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.40 Upside
Sat May 1
02:00 PM
Indy Eleven
2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Athletes in Action Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.41 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Pride Elite 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
2 Indy Eleven 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
3 Lexington Sporting Club Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
4 Mercury 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
5 Ohio Elite SA 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
6 Ohio Galaxies FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
7 Racing Louisville Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
8 Tennessee SC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.