Albany Alleycats

ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU15 · 8 teams · Empire State Youth Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 20 hours ago.

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1st

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

52% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 20, TBD

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Albany Alleycats
1st · 0.00 PPG

East Coast Surf
2nd · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Albany Alleycats	East Coast Surf
Position	1st	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
East Coast Surf average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the East Coast Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Albany Alleycats – East Coast Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Mar 15 – Sun Mar 21); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st— holds	7th▼ down 6	8th▼ down 7
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	6th▼ down 5
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st— holds	8th▼ down 7	8th▼ down 7
Loss 0.00 PPG	8th▼ down 7	8th▼ down 7	8th▼ down 7

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

12% finish 1st

52% top 4

48% below the top 4

4.5 average finish

1st 12%
2nd 13%
3rd 14%
4th 13%
5th 11%
6th 13%
7th 12%
8th 12%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Mar 20 TBD	East Coast Surf 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sun Mar 21 TBD	New England Surf 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 TBD	New England Surf 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.35	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Quickstrike FC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	East Coast Surf 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.44	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 12:30 PM	PDA SOUTH BLUE 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Westampton Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun Apr 18 02:30 PM	YMS 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Macclesfield Park · turf	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	Reading Rage Surf 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Keystone Athletic 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sun May 2 TBD	Quickstrike FC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Albany Alleycats

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at East Coast Surf · Sun Mar 21 vs New England Surf · Sun Apr 4 at New England Surf See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East Coast Surf

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs Albany Alleycats · Sun Mar 21 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Apr 4 at Quickstrike FC See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	vs	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Keystone Athletic

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs YMS · Sun Mar 21 at Reading Rage Surf · Sun Apr 4 vs Reading Rage Surf See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	YMS (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

New England Surf

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at Quickstrike FC · Sun Mar 21 at Albany Alleycats · Sun Apr 4 vs Albany Alleycats See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA SOUTH BLUE

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at Reading Rage Surf · Sun Mar 21 vs YMS · Sun Apr 4 at YMS See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	YMS (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Quickstrike FC

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs New England Surf · Sun Mar 21 at East Coast Surf · Sun Apr 4 vs East Coast Surf See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Reading Rage Surf

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PDA SOUTH BLUE · Sun Mar 21 vs Keystone Athletic · Sun Apr 4 at Keystone Athletic See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	YMS (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	at	YMS (8th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

YMS

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at Keystone Athletic · Sun Mar 21 at PDA SOUTH BLUE · Sun Apr 4 vs PDA SOUTH BLUE See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	PDA SOUTH BLUE (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Keystone Athletic (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	New England Surf (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Albany Alleycats (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	East Coast Surf (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Quickstrike FC (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Reading Rage Surf (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.