Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 09:30 AM
Keystone Athletic 1–1 East Coast Surf
Nazareth Middle School Turf · Field 1 ↗ · turf · 18064
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 24% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 51% home, 24% draw, 25% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Keystone Athletic | East Coast Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 2-2-0 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W | D W W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Reading Rage Surf | 3–1 vs Albany Alleycats |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.16 | +0.58 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.78 | +0.11 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–1 (home for Keystone Athletic)
Common opponents: Reading Rage Surf — Keystone Athletic 4–0; East Coast Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| Keystone Athletic | East Coast Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 10 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 22% | 3% |
| Average finish | 2.4 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
8 chains
3 favour Keystone Athletic, 3 favour East Coast Surf, 2 even; average margin -0.1 goals toward Keystone Athletic.
- 0Keystone Athletic drew with East Coast Surf 1–1
- +2Keystone Athletic beat Reading Rage Surf 4–0 → Reading Rage Surf lost to East Coast Surf 0–2
- 0Keystone Athletic beat YMS 4–1 → YMS lost to Reading Rage Surf 0–1 → Reading Rage Surf lost to East Coast Surf 0–2
- +1Keystone Athletic beat Quickstrike FC 3–0 → Quickstrike FC lost to New England Surf 0–2 → New England Surf drew with East Coast Surf 1–1
- -1Keystone Athletic beat Quickstrike FC 3–0 → Quickstrike FC lost to Reading Rage Surf 1–3 → Reading Rage Surf lost to East Coast Surf 0–2
- -2Keystone Athletic beat YMS 4–1 → YMS lost to Albany Alleycats 1–4 → Albany Alleycats lost to East Coast Surf 1–3
Full picture: Keystone Athletic · East Coast Surf · Northeast GU14 standings