Eastern FC
ECNL Regional League Girls · Northeast GU14 · 8 teams · Eastern FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 10:30 AM
Cardinal Spellman Rec Center, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.7 for, 3.4 against · 0.22 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastern FC | Long Island Slammers |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-4 | 3-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.8 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L | W W D W |
| Biggest win | — | 5–0 vs Scorpions SC South |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs AC Connecticut | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.00 | +1.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Long Island Slammers concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Connecticut FC Legacy, 0–5 vs AC Connecticut.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Force FC sit 6th on 0.20 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Force FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Long Island Slammers game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastern FC – Long Island Slammers) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.60 PPG |
5th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 2 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.20 PPG |
7th— holds | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 3%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 28%
- 8th 59%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ Crush FC | 2.75 (+2.75) | 1st (2.45) | 50 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Long Island Slammers | 2.50 (+2.50) | 3rd (2.23) | 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | Manhattan SC | 2.29 (+2.29) | 2nd (2.24) | 42 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 4 | SUSA FC Northeast | 1.00 (+1.00) | 4th (1.41) | 18 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | PDA SCP | 0.33 (+0.33) | 6th (0.79) | A point next game |
| 6 | Force FC | 0.20 (+0.20) | 5th (0.80) | A point next game |
Position over the season
3 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.20 · 1st hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 05:30 PM no score posted |
Force FC 6th · 0-1-4 · GD -9 |
Home Tibbetts Brook Park #2 |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–1 | 1.03 | 0.21 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:30 AM |
Long Island Slammers 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Home Cardinal Spellman Rec Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.22 | 0.21 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 04:00 PM |
SUSA FC Northeast 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home Cardinal Spellman Rec Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.52 | 0.25 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
PDA SCP 5th · 0-2-4 · GD -14 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.07 | 0.36 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
PSA North 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -16 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.27 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 05:15 PM |
Force FC 6th · 0-1-4 · GD -9 |
Away far trip
Hudson Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.81 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 03:30 PM |
PDA SCP 5th · 0-2-4 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Sparta HS · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.82 | 0.52 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
PSA North 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -16 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Manhattan SC 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +21 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.15 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
NJ Crush FC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.14 | 0.50 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Long Island Slammers 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.13 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
SUSA FC Northeast 4th · 1-1-2 · GD +1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.35 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Manhattan SC 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +21 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.09 | 0.45 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
NJ Crush FC 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +27 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–4 | 0.08 | 0.43 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ Crush FC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 5 | +27 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWDW | -1.13 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North · Sat Mar 6 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Long Island Slammers | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 10 | 2.50 | WDWW | +0.00 | -0.29 | 100% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs SUSA FC Northeast · Sat Nov 14 at Eastern FC · Sun Nov 15 at Force FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Manhattan SC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 4 | +21 | 16 | 2.29 | WWWLW | -1.49 | -0.14 | 100% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs NJ Crush FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Vale Rush United · Sat Mar 6 vs Long Island Slammers See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | SUSA FC Northeast | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 4 | 1.00 | LDWL | +0.00 | -0.10 | 93% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Long Island Slammers · Sat Nov 14 at Force FC · Sun Nov 15 at Eastern FC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PDA SCP | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 2 | 0.33 | LLLD | +1.89 | -0.19 | 3% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at PSA North · Sun Nov 1 at Force FC · Sat Mar 6 at Eastern FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Force FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 | 0.20 | DLL | +1.92 | -0.09 | 4% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Eastern FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PDA SCP · Sat Nov 14 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eastern FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 15 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.00 | +0.20 | 0% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Force FC · Sat Nov 14 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 15 vs SUSA FC Northeast See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | PSA North | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.86 | +0.03 | 0% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs PDA SCP · Sun Nov 1 at NJ Crush FC · Sun Mar 7 at Eastern FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.48 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.