Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:35 AM
Union FC 1–1 Folsom Lake Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 12% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 82% home, 12% draw, 6% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Union FC | Folsom Lake Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 22nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L W | L D L W L |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Association FC | 2–0 at Santa Clara Sporting |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Granite Bay FC Bobcats | 0–5 vs Granite Bay FC Bobcats |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.19 | -0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.54 | +1.45 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–1 (home for Union FC)
Common opponents: Granite Bay FC Bobcats — Union FC 1–2; Folsom Lake Surf 0–5.
What's at stake
| Union FC | Folsom Lake Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 7th | 22nd |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 17% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 7.1 | 18.4 |
How the results connect
4 chains
3 favour Union FC, 0 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 1 even; average margin +4.0 goals toward Union FC.
- 0Union FC drew with Folsom Lake Surf 1–1
- +4Union FC lost to Granite Bay FC Bobcats 1–2 → Granite Bay FC Bobcats beat Folsom Lake Surf 5–0
- +6Union FC lost to Granite Bay FC Bobcats 1–2 → Granite Bay FC Bobcats beat Reno APEX Soccer Club 6–1 → Reno APEX Soccer Club beat Folsom Lake Surf 2–0
- +6Union FC beat Elk Grove Soccer 5–0 → Elk Grove Soccer lost to Granite Bay FC Bobcats 1–5 → Granite Bay FC Bobcats beat Folsom Lake Surf 5–0
Full picture: Union FC · Folsom Lake Surf · NorCal GU18/19 standings