Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 02:00 PM

Elk Grove Soccer 2–1 Walnut Creek Surf

Final

Elk Grove Soccer
20th · 1.00 PPG · home

2–1

Walnut Creek Surf
14th · 1.43 PPG · away

By today's ratings the model gave this result a 27% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 27% home, 22% draw, 51% away, most likely 1–1.

Season so far	Elk Grove Soccer	Walnut Creek Surf
Position	20th	14th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-4	3-1-3
Points per game	1.00	1.43
Goals for / game	1.2	1.6
Goals against / game	2.8	1.9
Clean sheets	1	2
Held scoreless	2	1
Form (recent first)	L W L W L	D L W L W
Biggest win	3–0 vs SF United FC	4–0 vs SF United FC
Worst loss	0–5 at Union FC	0–7 at Reno APEX Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.02	-0.04
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.03	+0.56

Already met this season: Sep 20 2–1 (home for Elk Grove Soccer)

Common opponents: SF United FC — Elk Grove Soccer 3–0; Walnut Creek Surf 4–0.

9 chains

3 favour Elk Grove Soccer, 5 favour Walnut Creek Surf, 1 even; average margin -1.9 goals toward Elk Grove Soccer.

+1Elk Grove Soccer beat Walnut Creek Surf 2–1
-1Elk Grove Soccer beat SF United FC 3–0 → SF United FC lost to Walnut Creek Surf 0–4
0Elk Grove Soccer lost to Union FC 0–5 → Union FC beat Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red 6–2 → Mt Diablo Mustang Soccer Red beat Walnut Creek Surf 2–1
+1Elk Grove Soccer lost to Stanford Strikers 0–3 → Stanford Strikers lost to Reno APEX Soccer Club 0–3 → Reno APEX Soccer Club beat Walnut Creek Surf 7–0
-4Elk Grove Soccer lost to Stanford Strikers 0–3 → Stanford Strikers beat SF United FC 3–0 → SF United FC lost to Walnut Creek Surf 0–4
-6Elk Grove Soccer lost to Granite Bay FC Bobcats 1–5 → Granite Bay FC Bobcats lost to San Juan South 0–1 → San Juan South lost to Walnut Creek Surf 0–1