Result · Sunday, Aug 30, 09:00 AM
Marin FC 1–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 52% home, 22% draw, 26% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Marin FC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-4 | 5-1-3 |
| Points per game | 1.44 | 1.78 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W W | L W L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 vs Mustang SC | 5–2 at Davis Legacy |
| Worst loss | 2–3 at Force | 0–7 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.37 | -0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.28 | -0.02 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–1 (home for Marin FC)
Common opponents: Pleasanton RAGE — Marin FC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 4–3. Force — Marin FC 2–3; Bay Area Surf 0–1, 2–3. Mustang SC — Marin FC 4–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1. Davis Legacy — Marin FC 2–1, 3–1; Bay Area Surf 5–2. San Juan SC — Marin FC 0–1, 0–1; Bay Area Surf 0–7.
What's at stake
| Marin FC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 9 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 32% | 33% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 5.1 |
How the results connect
58 chains
28 favour Marin FC, 23 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Marin FC.
- 0Marin FC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- 0Marin FC lost to Force 2–3 → Force beat Bay Area Surf 1–0
- 0Marin FC lost to Force 2–3 → Force beat Bay Area Surf 3–2
- -1Marin FC beat Davis Legacy 3–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 2–5
- +1Marin FC beat Mustang SC 4–1 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- +1Marin FC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 3–4
Full picture: Marin FC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU18/19 standings