Preview · Sunday, Apr 4, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.7 home, 1.0 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 4.1 | 2.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W D L W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 10–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 at Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.53 | +1.64 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.52 | -0.43 |
Common opponents: Mustang SC — MVLA 4–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. COSC — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 2–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 2–1; Bay Area Surf 1–4. Marin FC — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 10–0. Force — MVLA 2–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0, 1–1. Placer United — MVLA 2–1, 4–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 94% | 4% |
| Average finish | 1.1 | 2.7 |
How the results connect
84 chains
55 favour MVLA, 22 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA beat Mustang SC 4–1 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -1MVLA beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -1MVLA beat Force 2–0 → Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +1MVLA beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 4–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +2MVLA beat Force 2–0 → Force drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU17 standings