Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 home, 1.0 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-2-1 | 6-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Goals for / game | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W D | W W D L W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Marin FC | 8–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Davis Legacy | 1–4 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.64 | +0.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | -0.13 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Mustang SC 0–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 1–0, 2–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 2–0. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 10–0; Mustang SC 8–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Mustang SC 0–3. Force — Bay Area Surf 3–0, 1–1; Mustang SC 5–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 1–4; Mustang SC 4–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 94% | 39% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 4.6 |
How the results connect
75 chains
38 favour Bay Area Surf, 31 favour Mustang SC, 6 even; average margin +0.3 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–0
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Force 3–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 1–5
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 3–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf drew with Mustang SC 0–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 10–0 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–8
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU17 standings