Preview · Sunday, Oct 25, 09:00 AM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 home, 1.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-2-1 | 9-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W D | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Marin FC | 7–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Davis Legacy | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.64 | +2.53 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | -0.52 |
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–0; MVLA 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 7–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 2–1, 4–0. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 10–0; MVLA 7–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 4–1. Force — Bay Area Surf 3–0, 1–1; MVLA 2–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 1–4; MVLA 2–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 7–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 93% |
| Average finish | 2.7 | 1.1 |
How the results connect
84 chains
22 favour Bay Area Surf, 55 favour MVLA, 7 even; average margin -1.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–0 → Mustang SC lost to MVLA 1–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Force 3–0 → Force lost to MVLA 0–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to MVLA 1–2
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 0–2
- -2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 5–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 0–7
- -2Bay Area Surf drew with Force 1–1 → Force lost to MVLA 0–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Golden State GU17 standings