Result · Saturday, Oct 10, 02:25 PM
Bay Area Surf 1–1 Force
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 77% home, 15% draw, 8% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-2-1 | 3-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.11 |
| Goals for / game | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W D | D W L L W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Marin FC | 3–0 at COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at Davis Legacy | 1–5 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.64 | -0.25 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | +0.25 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 3–0 (away for Bay Area Surf); Oct 10 1–1 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Force 3–1. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Force 0–1. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 10–0; Force 2–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Force 1–5. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–0; Force 0–1. COSC — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Force 3–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 7th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 95% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 0% |
| Average finish | 2.8 | 7.2 |
How the results connect
56 chains
36 favour Bay Area Surf, 10 favour Force, 10 even; average margin +2.2 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Force 1–1
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Force 3–0
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with San Juan SC 0–0 → San Juan SC beat Force 1–0
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Force 1–3
- +2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 5–0 → COSC lost to Force 0–3
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United beat Force 1–0
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Force · Golden State GU17 standings