Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 10:00 AM
Davis Legacy 4–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 37% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 37% home, 24% draw, 39% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-2 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W D L W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 10–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Mustang SC | 1–4 at Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.66 | +1.64 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.73 | -0.43 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 4–1 (home for Davis Legacy)
Common opponents: Pleasanton RAGE — Davis Legacy 7–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Mustang SC — Davis Legacy 0–4; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Placer United — Davis Legacy 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. COSC — Davis Legacy 8–2; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Marin FC — Davis Legacy 5–0, 5–0; Bay Area Surf 10–0. Stanislaus Surf — Davis Legacy 1–0, 2–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0.
What's at stake
| Davis Legacy | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 18 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 85% | 95% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 4% |
| Average finish | 3.3 | 2.7 |
How the results connect
75 chains
27 favour Davis Legacy, 35 favour Bay Area Surf, 13 even; average margin -0.5 goals toward Davis Legacy.
- +3Davis Legacy beat Bay Area Surf 4–1
- 0Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- 0Davis Legacy beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1Davis Legacy beat Stanislaus Surf 2–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- +1Davis Legacy beat COSC 8–2 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- +4Davis Legacy beat Pleasanton RAGE 7–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: Davis Legacy · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU17 standings