Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 05:00 PM
Mustang SC 0–3 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 50% chance. Pre-match odds were 26% home, 24% draw, 50% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L W | W D L W D |
| Biggest win | 8–0 at Marin FC | 10–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at MVLA | 1–4 at Davis Legacy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.89 | +1.64 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.13 | -0.43 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 0–3 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 1–4. Force — Mustang SC 5–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0, 1–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 8–0; Bay Area Surf 10–0. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 0–3; Bay Area Surf 0–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 0–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 1–0, 2–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 37% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 4% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 2.7 |
How the results connect
75 chains
31 favour Mustang SC, 38 favour Bay Area Surf, 6 even; average margin -0.3 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -3Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- 0Mustang SC beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- -1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -1Mustang SC drew with Stanislaus Surf 0–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- +1Mustang SC beat Force 5–1 → Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -2Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 1–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU17 standings