Preview · Sunday, May 2, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Marin FC
Forecast
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 3.0 home, 0.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Marin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-1-0 | 2-1-8 |
| Points per game | 2.82 | 0.64 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | L L L W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 4–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.09 | -0.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | +0.50 |
Already met this season: Aug 30 1–0 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 4–0; Marin FC 4–1. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Marin FC 2–4. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; Marin FC 1–0. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Marin FC 1–3, 1–2. Force — Bay Area Surf 1–1, 2–0; Marin FC 0–2. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 4–3; Marin FC 2–2, 0–2. COSC — Bay Area Surf 7–0; Marin FC 0–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Marin FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 11th |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 77% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.3 | 8.7 |
How the results connect
91 chains
72 favour Bay Area Surf, 15 favour Marin FC, 4 even; average margin +3.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 1–0
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 4–3 → Davis Legacy drew with Marin FC 2–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–1 → Mustang SC lost to Marin FC 0–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 4–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Marin FC 1–4
- +2Bay Area Surf drew with Force 1–1 → Force beat Marin FC 2–0
- +2Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Marin FC · Golden State GU16 standings