Preview · Sunday, Apr 4, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 home, 1.8 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 9-0-2 | 10-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.45 | 2.82 |
| Goals for / game | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at Santa Rosa United | 7–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.69 | +2.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.01 | -0.43 |
Common opponents: Mustang SC — MVLA 1–3; Bay Area Surf 3–1. COSC — MVLA 10–1; Bay Area Surf 7–0. Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 4–2; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 2–3; Bay Area Surf 4–3. Marin FC — MVLA 3–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Force — MVLA 4–1; Bay Area Surf 1–1, 2–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 3–0, 10–0; Bay Area Surf 4–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 6–0. Placer United — MVLA 5–0, 5–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 15% | 76% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 1.3 |
How the results connect
114 chains
58 favour MVLA, 45 favour Bay Area Surf, 11 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward MVLA.
- +1MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 7–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–6
- -1MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4
- +1MVLA beat Force 4–1 → Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 5–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 5–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +2MVLA beat Marin FC 3–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU16 standings