Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 home, 1.1 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-1-0 | 8-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.82 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.09 | +1.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | +0.10 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Mustang SC 4–2. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 6–0; Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 4–1. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Mustang SC 0–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Mustang SC 3–2. Force — Bay Area Surf 1–1, 2–0; Mustang SC 1–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 4–3; Mustang SC 2–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 77% | 2% |
| Average finish | 1.3 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
85 chains
43 favour Bay Area Surf, 34 favour Mustang SC, 8 even; average margin +0.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat San Juan SC 1–0 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 3–0 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Force 2–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 4–3 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with Force 1–1 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU16 standings