Preview · Sunday, Oct 25, 04:00 PM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 home, 1.7 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-1-0 | 9-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.82 | 2.45 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs COSC | 10–0 at Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | — | 1–3 vs Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.09 | +2.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.43 | -1.01 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 4–0; MVLA 3–0, 10–0. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 4–2. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 6–0; MVLA 7–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 5–0, 5–0. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 1–0; MVLA 3–0. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 3–1; MVLA 1–3. Force — Bay Area Surf 1–1, 2–0; MVLA 4–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 4–3; MVLA 2–3. COSC — Bay Area Surf 7–0; MVLA 10–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 2nd |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 77% | 16% |
| Average finish | 1.3 | 2.5 |
How the results connect
114 chains
45 favour Bay Area Surf, 58 favour MVLA, 11 even; average margin -0.6 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Force 2–0 → Force lost to MVLA 1–4
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to MVLA 0–7
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 4–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 0–3
- -2Bay Area Surf beat COSC 7–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 1–10
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 4–3 → Davis Legacy beat MVLA 3–2
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 1–0 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 0–3
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Golden State GU16 standings