Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Pleasanton RAGE 2–4 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 80% chance. Pre-match odds were 10% home, 10% draw, 80% away, most likely 1–4.
| Season so far | Pleasanton RAGE | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-7 | 8-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.91 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Santa Rosa United | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at MVLA | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.26 | +1.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.30 | +0.10 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 2–6 (away for Pleasanton RAGE); Oct 18 2–4 (home for Pleasanton RAGE)
Common opponents: Davis Legacy — Pleasanton RAGE 1–5; Mustang SC 2–0. Marin FC — Pleasanton RAGE 4–2; Mustang SC 0–1. Bay Area Surf — Pleasanton RAGE 0–6; Mustang SC 1–3. San Juan SC — Pleasanton RAGE 0–2; Mustang SC 3–2. Stanislaus Surf — Pleasanton RAGE 2–2; Mustang SC 4–2. Placer United — Pleasanton RAGE 3–2, 2–3; Mustang SC 4–1. MVLA — Pleasanton RAGE 0–7; Mustang SC 3–1.
What's at stake
| Pleasanton RAGE | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 4th |
| Games left | 11 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 2% |
| Average finish | 8.8 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
73 chains
8 favour Pleasanton RAGE, 58 favour Mustang SC, 7 even; average margin -3.2 goals toward Pleasanton RAGE.
- -2Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–4
- -4Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–6
- -2Pleasanton RAGE beat Placer United 3–2 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 1–4
- -2Pleasanton RAGE drew with Stanislaus Surf 2–2 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 2–4
- -3Pleasanton RAGE lost to San Juan SC 0–2 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- +3Pleasanton RAGE beat Marin FC 4–2 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 1–0
Full picture: Pleasanton RAGE · Mustang SC · Golden State GU16 standings