Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 03:00 PM
San Juan SC 2–3 Mustang SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 21% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 60% home, 19% draw, 21% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-2 | 8-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L W L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs Bay Area Surf | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.80 | +1.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.52 | +0.10 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 2–3 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 7–0; Mustang SC 4–2. Force — San Juan SC 3–0; Mustang SC 1–0. Placer United — San Juan SC 6–0; Mustang SC 4–1. Pleasanton RAGE — San Juan SC 2–0; Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2. Bay Area Surf — San Juan SC 0–1; Mustang SC 1–3. Marin FC — San Juan SC 3–1, 2–1; Mustang SC 0–1.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 6% | 4% |
| Average finish | 3.0 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
79 chains
41 favour San Juan SC, 30 favour Mustang SC, 8 even; average margin +0.6 goals toward San Juan SC.
- -1San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 2–3
- 0San Juan SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–4
- +1San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1 → Bay Area Surf beat Mustang SC 3–1
- +2San Juan SC beat Marin FC 2–1 → Marin FC beat Mustang SC 1–0
- -2San Juan SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 2–6
- +2San Juan SC beat Force 3–0 → Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1
Full picture: San Juan SC · Mustang SC · Golden State GU16 standings