Result · Sunday, Sep 27, TBD
Force 1–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 7% home, 15% draw, 78% away, most likely 0–2.
| Season so far | Force | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-6 | 10-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.82 |
| Goals for / game | 0.9 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L L D | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 2–0 vs Marin FC | 7–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at San Juan SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.48 | +2.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | -0.43 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–1 (home for Force); Oct 10 0–2 (away for Force)
Common opponents: Placer United — Force 1–0; Bay Area Surf 3–0. San Juan SC — Force 0–3; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Marin FC — Force 2–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Mustang SC — Force 0–1; Bay Area Surf 3–1. COSC — Force 1–3; Bay Area Surf 7–0. Stanislaus Surf — Force 0–1; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Santa Rosa United — Force 3–1, 1–1; Bay Area Surf 4–0.
What's at stake
| Force | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 8th | 1st |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 77% |
| Average finish | 8.0 | 1.3 |
How the results connect
76 chains
6 favour Force, 65 favour Bay Area Surf, 5 even; average margin -3.6 goals toward Force.
- 0Force drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- -2Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1Force beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- -2Force beat Santa Rosa United 3–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–4
- -2Force beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- -3Force lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
Full picture: Force · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU16 standings