Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 05:00 PM
Mustang SC 1–3 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 59% chance. Pre-match odds were 21% home, 20% draw, 59% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 8-0-2 | 10-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.82 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 8 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W W D W |
| Biggest win | 6–2 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 7–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.13 | +2.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.10 | -0.43 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 1–3 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 4–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 4–3. Force — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1, 2–0. Marin FC — Mustang SC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 1–0. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 4–2; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 6–2, 4–2; Bay Area Surf 6–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 76% |
| Average finish | 3.2 | 1.3 |
How the results connect
85 chains
34 favour Mustang SC, 43 favour Bay Area Surf, 8 even; average margin -0.5 goals toward Mustang SC.
- -2Mustang SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- 0Mustang SC beat San Juan SC 3–2 → San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- 0Mustang SC beat Placer United 4–1 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +1Mustang SC beat Force 1–0 → Force drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- -1Mustang SC beat Force 1–0 → Force lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +1Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 2–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 3–4
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU16 standings