Preview · Sunday, Apr 18, TBD
Mustang SC vs Santa Rosa United
Forecast
Most likely score 4–0 (expected goals 4.5 home, 0.9 away)
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-3 | 1-1-8 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 0.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 6.1 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L L | L D L L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 4–1 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at San Juan SC | 0–12 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.63 | -3.35 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | +1.08 |
Common opponents: MVLA — Mustang SC 2–3; Santa Rosa United 0–12, 1–4. Placer United — Mustang SC 2–1; Santa Rosa United 1–10. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 4–1; Santa Rosa United 1–4. Force — Mustang SC 3–0; Santa Rosa United 2–2, 1–9. Bay Area Surf — Mustang SC 2–2; Santa Rosa United 0–3. Marin FC — Mustang SC 0–2; Santa Rosa United 0–8. San Juan SC — Mustang SC 0–3; Santa Rosa United 0–8. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 2–0, 4–0; Santa Rosa United 4–1.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Santa Rosa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 10th |
| Games left | 12 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 7% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.7 | 10.1 |
How the results connect
95 chains
81 favour Mustang SC, 12 favour Santa Rosa United, 2 even; average margin +5.0 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Santa Rosa United 1–4
- -1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Santa Rosa United 1–4
- +2Mustang SC lost to MVLA 2–3 → MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 4–1
- +3Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2 → Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0
- +3Mustang SC beat Force 3–0 → Force drew with Santa Rosa United 2–2
- +5Mustang SC lost to San Juan SC 0–3 → San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 8–0
Full picture: Mustang SC · Santa Rosa United · Golden State GU15 standings