Preview · Sunday, Apr 4, TBD
MVLA vs Bay Area Surf
Forecast
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 home, 1.3 away)
| Season so far | MVLA | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 10-1-0 | 7-3-1 |
| Points per game | 2.82 | 2.18 |
| Goals for / game | 7.1 | 3.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 12–0 at Force | 12–0 vs COSC |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +4.51 | +1.89 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.09 | -0.91 |
Common opponents: Mustang SC — MVLA 3–2; Bay Area Surf 2–2. COSC — MVLA 11–0; Bay Area Surf 12–0. Stanislaus Surf — MVLA 10–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Davis Legacy — MVLA 7–0; Bay Area Surf 3–2. Marin FC — MVLA 1–1; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Force — MVLA 12–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1, 4–0. Santa Rosa United — MVLA 12–0, 4–1; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Pleasanton RAGE — MVLA 9–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0. Placer United — MVLA 6–1, 3–1; Bay Area Surf 2–2.
What's at stake
| MVLA | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 3rd |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 67% |
| Chance of 1st | 21% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.8 | 4.1 |
How the results connect
109 chains
82 favour MVLA, 20 favour Bay Area Surf, 7 even; average margin +3.5 goals toward MVLA.
- 0MVLA beat Santa Rosa United 4–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- 0MVLA drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- -1MVLA beat COSC 11–0 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–12
- +1MVLA beat Mustang SC 3–2 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- +2MVLA beat Placer United 3–1 → Placer United drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- +4MVLA beat Pleasanton RAGE 9–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
Full picture: MVLA · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU15 standings