Preview · Sunday, Oct 25, 12:40 PM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 home, 2.9 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-3-1 | 10-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.18 | 2.82 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 7.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 12–0 vs COSC | 12–0 at Force |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at San Juan SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.89 | +4.51 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.91 | -1.09 |
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 12–0, 4–1. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 2–0; MVLA 10–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 5–0; MVLA 9–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–2; MVLA 6–1, 3–1. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 1–1; MVLA 1–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; MVLA 3–2. Force — Bay Area Surf 7–1, 4–0; MVLA 12–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 3–2; MVLA 7–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 12–0; MVLA 11–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 11 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 67% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 19% |
| Average finish | 4.1 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
109 chains
20 favour Bay Area Surf, 82 favour MVLA, 7 even; average margin -3.5 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Marin FC 1–1 → Marin FC drew with MVLA 1–1
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 1–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 12–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 0–11
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC lost to MVLA 2–3
- -2Bay Area Surf drew with Placer United 2–2 → Placer United lost to MVLA 1–3
- -4Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to MVLA 0–9
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Golden State GU15 standings