Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 home, 2.0 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-3-2 | 5-2-1 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.13 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L L D | W W W D D |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Marin FC | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at San Juan SC | 1–2 at MVLA |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.00 | +1.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.44 | -0.81 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 1–1 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 1–0; Mustang SC 4–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 8–0, 5–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 1–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; Mustang SC 2–2. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 0–4; Mustang SC 2–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 12 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 7% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.2 | 3.1 |
How the results connect
61 chains
10 favour Bay Area Surf, 48 favour Mustang SC, 3 even; average margin -2.9 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 1–1
- -1Bay Area Surf drew with Placer United 1–1 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +3Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 3–0 → Marin FC drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- -3Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 2–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–5
- -3Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 1–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -6Bay Area Surf lost to Davis Legacy 0–4 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–2
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU14 standings