Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 11:00 AM
Mustang SC 1–1 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 18% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 70% home, 18% draw, 12% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-2-1 | 5-3-2 |
| Points per game | 2.13 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.6 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D D | W W L L D |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Pleasanton RAGE | 3–0 at Marin FC |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at MVLA | 0–4 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.59 | -0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.81 | -0.44 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 1–1 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 1–1. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 0–4. Marin FC — Mustang SC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 1–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 8–0, 5–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 5th |
| Games left | 14 | 12 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 7% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.1 | 5.3 |
How the results connect
61 chains
48 favour Mustang SC, 10 favour Bay Area Surf, 3 even; average margin +2.9 goals toward Mustang SC.
- 0Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- +1Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United drew with Bay Area Surf 1–1
- +3Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- +3Mustang SC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 0–1
- -3Mustang SC drew with Marin FC 2–2 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
- +6Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 8–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU14 standings