Preview · Sunday, Nov 1, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 home, 1.4 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-1 | 7-1-0 |
| Points per game | 2.44 | 2.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs Stanislaus Surf | 6–0 at Pleasanton RAGE |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Mustang SC | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.19 | +1.92 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.28 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 0–3 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 8–0; Mustang SC 2–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Bay Area Surf 5–0; Mustang SC 4–0, 6–0. Placer United — Bay Area Surf 2–1; Mustang SC 1–0. Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 2–0; Mustang SC 2–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Mustang SC 3–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 13 | 14 |
| Chance of top 4 | 97% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 13% |
| Average finish | 3.4 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
56 chains
29 favour Bay Area Surf, 19 favour Mustang SC, 8 even; average margin +0.7 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- -3Bay Area Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–2
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Placer United 2–1 → Placer United lost to Mustang SC 0–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 0–3
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- -1Bay Area Surf beat Pleasanton RAGE 5–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Mustang SC 0–6
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Golden State GU13 standings