Result · Sunday, Sep 13, 09:00 AM
Mustang SC 3–0 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 46% chance. Pre-match odds were 46% home, 25% draw, 29% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 7-1-0 | 7-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.75 | 2.44 |
| Goals for / game | 2.9 | 3.9 |
| Goals against / game | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | W W D L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 8–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | — | 0–3 at Mustang SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.92 | +2.19 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.09 |
Already met this season: Sep 13 3–0 (home for Mustang SC)
Common opponents: Placer United — Mustang SC 1–0; Bay Area Surf 2–1. Davis Legacy — Mustang SC 3–0; Bay Area Surf 5–1. Marin FC — Mustang SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 2–0. Stanislaus Surf — Mustang SC 2–0; Bay Area Surf 8–0. Pleasanton RAGE — Mustang SC 4–0, 6–0; Bay Area Surf 5–0.
What's at stake
| Mustang SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 2nd | 4th |
| Games left | 14 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 99% | 96% |
| Chance of 1st | 14% | 4% |
| Average finish | 2.6 | 3.4 |
How the results connect
56 chains
19 favour Mustang SC, 29 favour Bay Area Surf, 8 even; average margin -0.7 goals toward Mustang SC.
- +3Mustang SC beat Bay Area Surf 3–0
- 0Mustang SC beat Marin FC 2–0 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–2
- 0Mustang SC beat Placer United 1–0 → Placer United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- +1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 6–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -1Mustang SC beat Pleasanton RAGE 4–0 → Pleasanton RAGE lost to Bay Area Surf 0–5
- -1Mustang SC beat Davis Legacy 3–0 → Davis Legacy lost to Bay Area Surf 1–5
Full picture: Mustang SC · Bay Area Surf · Golden State GU13 standings