Preview · Saturday, Mar 20, TBD
WNY Flash Rochester vs Northern Steel
Venue TBD
Forecast
20%
22%
58%
WNY Flash Rochester windrawNorthern Steel win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 home, 2.0 away)
| Season so far | WNY Flash Rochester | Northern Steel |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-3 | 6-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.17 | 2.57 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L L | W W W W L |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at Northern Steel | 4–0 at Manta |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at WNY Flash Erie | 0–1 vs WNY Flash Rochester |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.01 | +1.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +1.42 | -0.49 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–0 (away for WNY Flash Rochester)
Common opponents: WNY Flash Erie — WNY Flash Rochester 1–3; Northern Steel 3–0.
What's at stake
| WNY Flash Rochester | Northern Steel | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 1st |
| Games left | 8 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 91% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 42% |
| Average finish | 4.1 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
5 chains
2 favour WNY Flash Rochester, 2 favour Northern Steel, 1 even; average margin -1.0 goals toward WNY Flash Rochester.
- +1WNY Flash Rochester beat Northern Steel 1–0
- -5WNY Flash Rochester lost to WNY Flash Erie 1–3 → WNY Flash Erie lost to Northern Steel 0–3
- 0WNY Flash Rochester lost to Steel City FC 3–4 → Steel City FC beat Manta 5–0 → Manta lost to Northern Steel 0–4
- +5WNY Flash Rochester lost to Steel City FC 3–4 → Steel City FC beat Canton Force 9–1 → Canton Force lost to Northern Steel 0–2
- -6WNY Flash Rochester lost to Steel City FC 3–4 → Steel City FC lost to WNY Flash Erie 2–4 → WNY Flash Erie lost to Northern Steel 0–3
Full picture: WNY Flash Rochester · Northern Steel · GLA GU14 standings