Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 10:00 AM
Northern Steel 0–1 WNY Flash Rochester
Seneca Valley High School · Nextier Stadium ↗ · turf? · 16037
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 67% home, 19% draw, 15% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Northern Steel | WNY Flash Rochester |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-1 | 2-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.57 | 1.17 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W L | W D W L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 at Manta | 1–0 at Northern Steel |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs WNY Flash Rochester | 1–3 at WNY Flash Erie |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.20 | +0.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.49 | +1.42 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 0–1 (home for Northern Steel)
Common opponents: WNY Flash Erie — Northern Steel 3–0; WNY Flash Rochester 1–3.
What's at stake
| Northern Steel | WNY Flash Rochester | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 4th |
| Games left | 7 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 91% |
| Chance of 1st | 44% | 0% |
| Average finish | 1.8 | 4.1 |
How the results connect
5 chains
2 favour Northern Steel, 2 favour WNY Flash Rochester, 1 even; average margin +1.0 goals toward Northern Steel.
- -1Northern Steel lost to WNY Flash Rochester 0–1
- +5Northern Steel beat WNY Flash Erie 3–0 → WNY Flash Erie beat WNY Flash Rochester 3–1
- 0Northern Steel beat Manta 4–0 → Manta lost to Steel City FC 0–5 → Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3
- -5Northern Steel beat Canton Force 2–0 → Canton Force lost to Steel City FC 1–9 → Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3
- +6Northern Steel beat WNY Flash Erie 3–0 → WNY Flash Erie beat Steel City FC 4–2 → Steel City FC beat WNY Flash Rochester 4–3
Full picture: Northern Steel · WNY Flash Rochester · GLA GU14 standings