Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:00 AM
Tampa Bay United 1–0 Sporting SA JAX
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 26% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 26% home, 24% draw, 50% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Tampa Bay United | Sporting SA JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 6-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.22 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L W | D W W L W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Seminole United | 5–0 vs Seminole United |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs Jacksonville FC | 0–1 at Tampa Bay United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.57 | +1.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.24 | -0.12 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–0 (home for Tampa Bay United)
Common opponents: Fishhawk Premier FC — Tampa Bay United 4–2, 2–2; Sporting SA JAX 4–0, 3–1. Florida Premier FC — Tampa Bay United 5–4; Sporting SA JAX 3–1, 0–0. Jacksonville FC — Tampa Bay United 0–1; Sporting SA JAX 1–0. Seminole United — Tampa Bay United 3–0; Sporting SA JAX 5–0.
What's at stake
| Tampa Bay United | Sporting SA JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 2nd |
| Games left | 9 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 86% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 9% | 51% |
| Average finish | 3.1 | 1.7 |
How the results connect
52 chains
10 favour Tampa Bay United, 32 favour Sporting SA JAX, 10 even; average margin -1.1 goals toward Tampa Bay United.
- +1Tampa Bay United beat Sporting SA JAX 1–0
- 0Tampa Bay United beat Fishhawk Premier FC 4–2 → Fishhawk Premier FC lost to Sporting SA JAX 1–3
- -1Tampa Bay United beat Florida Premier FC 5–4 → Florida Premier FC lost to Sporting SA JAX 1–3
- +1Tampa Bay United beat Florida Premier FC 5–4 → Florida Premier FC drew with Sporting SA JAX 0–0
- -2Tampa Bay United beat Seminole United 3–0 → Seminole United lost to Sporting SA JAX 0–5
- -2Tampa Bay United drew with Fishhawk Premier FC 2–2 → Fishhawk Premier FC lost to Sporting SA JAX 1–3
Full picture: Tampa Bay United · Sporting SA JAX · Florida GU16 standings