Eastside Timbers
ECNL Regional League Girls · Far West GU15 · 7 teams · Eastside Timbers (all teams)
Next game — Sat Jan 23, 09:00 AM
TBA, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastside Timbers | Oregon Premier FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Oregon Premier FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at TBA.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Capital FC sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Capital FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Oregon Premier FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside Timbers – Oregon Premier FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Jan 18 – Sun Jan 24); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 2nd— holds | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 5th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
7th▼ down 5 | 7th▼ down 5 | 7th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 15%
- 2nd 14%
- 3rd 15%
- 4th 13%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 14%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Jan 23 09:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
TBA |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 02:00 PM |
United PDX 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 01:00 PM |
FC Portland 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Liberty High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 20 10:00 AM |
Capital FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 02:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Portland City United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
United PDX 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 PM |
FC Portland 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 02:00 PM |
Portland City United 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Capital FC 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs FC Portland · Sat Jan 30 at Eugene Metro FC · Sat Feb 6 at Portland City United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Eastside Timbers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Oregon Premier FC · Sat Jan 30 vs United PDX · Sat Feb 6 at FC Portland See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Eugene Metro FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 30 vs Capital FC · Sat Feb 6 at United PDX · Sat Feb 13 vs Portland City United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Portland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at Capital FC · Sat Jan 30 vs Oregon Premier FC · Sat Feb 6 vs Eastside Timbers See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Oregon Premier FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs Eastside Timbers · Sat Jan 30 at FC Portland · Sun Jan 31 at United PDX See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Portland City United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 at United PDX · Sat Feb 6 vs Capital FC · Sat Feb 13 at Eugene Metro FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | United PDX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Jan 23 vs Portland City United · Sat Jan 30 at Eastside Timbers · Sun Jan 31 vs Oregon Premier FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.