Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 02:00 PM
NC Fusion 4–2 NCFC Youth Premier
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 32% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 32% home, 21% draw, 47% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | NC Fusion | NCFC Youth Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-4 | 5-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.25 | 2.14 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W L W | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 at Wilmington Hammerheads | 6–2 vs Catawba Valley YSA |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs NCFC Youth Elite | 1–4 at Charlotte SA White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.07 | +0.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.36 | -0.25 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 4–2 (home for NC Fusion)
Common opponents: Charlotte SA White — NC Fusion 0–2; NCFC Youth Premier 1–4. Highland FC — NC Fusion 1–0; NCFC Youth Premier 3–1, 2–0. Catawba Valley YSA — NC Fusion 3–5; NCFC Youth Premier 6–2, 3–2. Charlotte SA Blue — NC Fusion 0–0; NCFC Youth Premier 2–0.
What's at stake
| NC Fusion | NCFC Youth Premier | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 3rd |
| Games left | 4 | 4 |
| Chance of top 4 | 28% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 1% |
| Average finish | 4.8 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
34 chains
9 favour NC Fusion, 20 favour NCFC Youth Premier, 5 even; average margin -1.2 goals toward NC Fusion.
- +2NC Fusion beat NCFC Youth Premier 4–2
- -1NC Fusion beat Highland FC 1–0 → Highland FC lost to NCFC Youth Premier 1–3
- -1NC Fusion beat Highland FC 1–0 → Highland FC lost to NCFC Youth Premier 0–2
- +1NC Fusion lost to Charlotte SA White 0–2 → Charlotte SA White beat NCFC Youth Premier 4–1
- -2NC Fusion drew with Charlotte SA Blue 0–0 → Charlotte SA Blue lost to NCFC Youth Premier 0–2
- -3NC Fusion lost to Catawba Valley YSA 3–5 → Catawba Valley YSA lost to NCFC Youth Premier 2–3
Full picture: NC Fusion · NCFC Youth Premier · Carolinas GU18/19 standings