Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 12:30 PM
Herndon 1–3 Great Falls Reston Soccer Club
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 70% chance. Pre-match odds were 16% home, 14% draw, 70% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Herndon | Great Falls Reston Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L D W L | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–2 vs BRYC Academy | 5–1 vs Arlington Soccer Association |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Great Falls Reston Soccer Club | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.37 | +1.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.26 | -0.08 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–3 (home for Herndon)
Common opponents: Arlington Soccer Association — Herndon 1–2; Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 5–1. BRYC Academy — Herndon 5–2; Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 5–2. Beach FC — Herndon 1–3; Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 2–0.
What's at stake
| Herndon | Great Falls Reston Soccer Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 1st |
| Games left | 3 | 3 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 87% |
| Average finish | 6.6 | 1.1 |
How the results connect
11 chains
1 favour Herndon, 9 favour Great Falls Reston Soccer Club, 1 even; average margin -3.6 goals toward Herndon.
- -2Herndon lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 1–3
- 0Herndon beat BRYC Academy 5–2 → BRYC Academy lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 2–5
- -4Herndon lost to Beach FC 1–3 → Beach FC lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 0–2
- -5Herndon lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–2 → Arlington Soccer Association lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 1–5
- +1Herndon lost to Beach FC 1–3 → Beach FC beat BRYC Academy 6–0 → BRYC Academy lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 2–5
- -2Herndon lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–2 → Arlington Soccer Association drew with VA Reign FC 0–0 → VA Reign FC lost to Great Falls Reston Soccer Club 2–3
Full picture: Herndon · Great Falls Reston Soccer Club · Virginia BU18/19 standings