Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Beach FC 2–3 Herndon
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 34% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 47% home, 19% draw, 34% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Beach FC | Herndon |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D W L | W W W D L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs BRYC Academy | 3–1 vs Virginia Valor FC |
| Worst loss | 0–4 at Richmond United Blue | 1–4 at Arlington Soccer Association |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.77 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 2–3 (home for Beach FC)
Common opponents: BRYC Academy — Beach FC 4–0; Herndon 2–2. Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL — Beach FC 2–2; Herndon 2–1. Virginia Valor FC — Beach FC 4–2; Herndon 3–1.
What's at stake
| Beach FC | Herndon | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 4th |
| Games left | 2 | 3 |
| Chance of top 4 | 35% | 64% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.7 | 4.4 |
How the results connect
14 chains
7 favour Beach FC, 4 favour Herndon, 3 even; average margin +1.1 goals toward Beach FC.
- -1Beach FC lost to Herndon 2–3
- 0Beach FC beat Virginia Valor FC 4–2 → Virginia Valor FC lost to Herndon 1–3
- -1Beach FC drew with Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL 2–2 → Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL lost to Herndon 1–2
- +4Beach FC beat BRYC Academy 4–0 → BRYC Academy drew with Herndon 2–2
- 0Beach FC drew with Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL 2–2 → Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–4 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Herndon 4–1
- 0Beach FC beat Stafford Revolution 3–2 → Stafford Revolution lost to Arlington Soccer Association 0–4 → Arlington Soccer Association beat Herndon 4–1
Full picture: Beach FC · Herndon · Virginia BU16 standings