Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 03:00 PM
Stafford Revolution 1–4 Arlington Soccer Association
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 33% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 49% home, 19% draw, 33% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Stafford Revolution | Arlington Soccer Association |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W D W | W W L L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs BRYC Academy | 7–0 at Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL |
| Worst loss | 1–4 vs Arlington Soccer Association | 1–3 vs Richmond United Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.22 | +1.06 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.25 | -0.06 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 1–4 (home for Stafford Revolution)
Common opponents: VA Reign FC — Stafford Revolution 2–1; Arlington Soccer Association 1–2. Richmond United Blue — Stafford Revolution 3–2; Arlington Soccer Association 1–3. Virginia Valor FC — Stafford Revolution 5–0; Arlington Soccer Association 3–2.
What's at stake
| Stafford Revolution | Arlington Soccer Association | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 3rd |
| Games left | 2 | 2 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 92% |
| Chance of 1st | 73% | 3% |
| Average finish | 1.5 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
20 chains
14 favour Stafford Revolution, 6 favour Arlington Soccer Association; average margin +2.0 goals toward Stafford Revolution.
- -3Stafford Revolution lost to Arlington Soccer Association 1–4
- +2Stafford Revolution beat VA Reign FC 2–1 → VA Reign FC beat Arlington Soccer Association 2–1
- +3Stafford Revolution beat Richmond United Blue 3–2 → Richmond United Blue beat Arlington Soccer Association 3–1
- +4Stafford Revolution beat Virginia Valor FC 5–0 → Virginia Valor FC lost to Arlington Soccer Association 2–3
- +1Stafford Revolution beat BRYC Academy 6–0 → BRYC Academy beat Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL 2–0 → Great Falls Reston Soccer Club RL lost to Arlington Soccer Association 0–7
- -1Stafford Revolution drew with Beach FC 2–2 → Beach FC drew with Virginia Valor FC 2–2 → Virginia Valor FC lost to Arlington Soccer Association 2–3
Full picture: Stafford Revolution · Arlington Soccer Association · Virginia BU15 standings