Result · Saturday, Sep 26, 11:00 AM
TC Premier SC STXCL 0–2 SAFC STXCL
Town & Country · Field 20 ↗ · 78729
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 18% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 57% home, 24% draw, 18% away, most likely 1–0.
| Season so far | TC Premier SC STXCL | SAFC STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W D W | L W W W D |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Houstonians FC STXCL | 4–2 at Houstonians FC STXCL |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs SAFC STXCL | 0–2 vs MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.94 | +0.17 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.06 | +0.25 |
Already met this season: Sep 26 0–2 (home for TC Premier SC STXCL)
Common opponents: Houstonians FC STXCL — TC Premier SC STXCL 4–0; SAFC STXCL 4–2. MAFC STXCL Red — TC Premier SC STXCL 4–0; SAFC STXCL 2–1.
What's at stake
| TC Premier SC STXCL | SAFC STXCL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 10th |
| Games left | 10 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 49% | 4% |
| Chance of 1st | 4% | 0% |
| Average finish | 4.5 | 7.5 |
How the results connect
5 chains
4 favour TC Premier SC STXCL, 1 favour SAFC STXCL; average margin +2.6 goals toward TC Premier SC STXCL.
- -2TC Premier SC STXCL lost to SAFC STXCL 0–2
- +2TC Premier SC STXCL beat Houstonians FC STXCL 4–0 → Houstonians FC STXCL lost to SAFC STXCL 2–4
- +3TC Premier SC STXCL beat MAFC STXCL Red 4–0 → MAFC STXCL Red lost to SAFC STXCL 1–2
- +5TC Premier SC STXCL beat MAFC STXCL Red 4–0 → MAFC STXCL Red beat RISE SC STXCL 1–0 → RISE SC STXCL drew with SAFC STXCL 1–1
- +5TC Premier SC STXCL beat Houstonians FC STXCL 4–0 → Houstonians FC STXCL lost to MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL 1–2 → MAFC Guerreros Houston STXCL beat SAFC STXCL 2–0
Full picture: TC Premier SC STXCL · SAFC STXCL · STXCL BU16 standings