TableChase Clubs

Delaware FC

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU17 · 14 teams · Delaware Football Club (all teams)

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2nd
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
25% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.9
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Dec 19, 12:00 PM

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Delaware FC
2nd · 0.00 PPG
at
Maryland United FC
4th · 0.00 PPG

Liberty Sports Park, Field 6 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so farDelaware FCMaryland United FC
Position2nd4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Maryland United FC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Liberty Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Baltimore Celtic sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Baltimore Celtic on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Maryland United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Delaware FC – Maryland United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds 7th▼ down 5
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG
1st▲ up 1 7th▼ down 5 7th▼ down 5
Loss
0.00 PPG
14th▼ down 12 14th▼ down 12 14th▼ down 12

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

6% finish 1st
25% top 4
75% below the top 4
7.9 average finish
  1. 1st 6%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 7%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 8%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Baltimore Celtic 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.42) Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Dec 19
12:00 PM
Maryland United FC
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Liberty Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Baltimore Celtic
1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Mar 27
TBD
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.24 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 PM
Potomac Soccer Association
10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Odyssey Charter School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.33 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
11:00 AM
Pipeline SC
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Smith Estates
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.38 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
FC DELCO
3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.35 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 PM
PDA
6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
PDA Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.34 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Match Fit Surf
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.33 Upside
Sat May 15
12:45 PM
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Smith Estates
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.35 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
STA
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.34 Upside
Sat May 22
11:00 AM
World Class FC
14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Smith Estates · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.36 Swing game
Sun May 23
02:00 PM
SJEB FC
12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.35 Upside
Sat Jun 5
TBD
PSA Monmouth
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.58 1.37 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Baltimore Celtic 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
2 Delaware FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
3 FC DELCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
4 Maryland United FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
5 Match Fit Surf 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
6 PDA 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
7 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
8 Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
9 Pipeline SC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
10 Potomac Soccer Association 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
11 PSA Monmouth 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
12 SJEB FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
13 STA 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——
14 World Class FC 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.00 ——

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.