PDA
ECNL Regional League Boys · North Atlantic BU16 · 14 teams · Players Development Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 19, 10:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA | Pipeline SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Pipeline SC average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Match Fit Surf sit 5th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Match Fit Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Pipeline SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA – Pipeline SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Dec 14 – Sun Dec 20); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 5th▲ up 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 1st▲ up 5 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 5 | 7th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
14th▼ down 8 | 14th▼ down 8 | 14th▼ down 8 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 6%
- 3rd 8%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 7%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 7%
- 9th 7%
- 10th 7%
- 11th 8%
- 12th 7%
- 13th 7%
- 14th 7%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Celtic | 0.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.42) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Delaware FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 13th (1.37) | Already ahead |
| 3 | FC DELCO | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.45) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Maryland United FC | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.45) | Already ahead |
| 5 | Match Fit Surf | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.42) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 6th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 19 10:00 AM |
Pipeline SC 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 02:00 PM |
World Class FC 14th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 02:00 PM |
Match Fit Surf 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 02:00 PM |
STA 13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
PSA Monmouth 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.51 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 PM |
SJEB FC ENCL RL 12th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
FC DELCO 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 PM |
Maryland United FC 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 10:00 AM |
Delaware FC 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 11:00 AM |
Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 10:00 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home PDA Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.42 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baltimore Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs PSA Monmouth · Sun Feb 28 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Mar 7 at FC DELCO See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Delaware FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at Maryland United FC · Sun Mar 14 at Baltimore Celtic · Sat Mar 27 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC DELCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs World Class FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Baltimore Celtic · Sun Mar 14 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Maryland United FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Delaware FC · Sun Feb 28 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Mar 7 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Match Fit Surf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 7 at PDA · Sun Mar 14 vs World Class FC · Sat Apr 10 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 vs Pipeline SC · Sun Feb 28 vs World Class FC · Sun Mar 7 vs Match Fit Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 at STA · Sun Feb 28 at SJEB FC ENCL RL · Sun Mar 7 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 vs SJEB FC ENCL RL · Sun Feb 28 at PSA Monmouth · Sun Mar 7 vs Maryland United FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Pipeline SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at PDA · Sun Mar 7 vs STA · Sun Mar 14 vs SJEB FC ENCL RL See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Potomac Soccer Association | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs STA · Sun Mar 7 vs SJEB FC ENCL RL · Sun Mar 14 vs PSA Monmouth See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | PSA Monmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at Baltimore Celtic · Sun Feb 28 vs Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Mar 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | SJEB FC ENCL RL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 at Philadelphia Ukrainian Nationals · Sun Feb 28 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sun Mar 7 at Potomac Soccer Association See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | STA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Dec 13 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Mar 6 at Potomac Soccer Association · Sun Mar 7 at Pipeline SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | World Class FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 19 at FC DELCO · Sun Feb 28 at PDA · Sun Mar 14 at Match Fit Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.