Result · Sunday, Aug 16, 08:30 AM
Bay Area Surf 5–4 Stanislaus Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 22% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 22% home, 19% draw, 59% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 22nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-5 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | W L D W L |
| Biggest win | 5–4 vs Stanislaus Surf | 1–0 vs FC Fresno Academy |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Turlock Academica Jrs | 2–4 at City SC Kings County |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.29 | +0.01 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.29 | +0.04 |
Already met this season: Aug 16 5–4 (home for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: City SC Kings County — Bay Area Surf 1–2; Stanislaus Surf 2–4. FC Fresno Academy — Bay Area Surf 0–3; Stanislaus Surf 1–0.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Stanislaus Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 22nd | 8th |
| Games left | 10 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 1% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 19.7 | 10.8 |
How the results connect
9 chains
2 favour Bay Area Surf, 6 favour Stanislaus Surf, 1 even; average margin -2.8 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 5–4
- +1Bay Area Surf lost to City SC Kings County 1–2 → City SC Kings County beat Stanislaus Surf 4–2
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to FC Fresno Academy 0–3 → FC Fresno Academy lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1
- 0Bay Area Surf lost to City SC Kings County 1–2 → City SC Kings County beat FC Fresno Academy 2–0 → FC Fresno Academy lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1
- -3Bay Area Surf lost to FC Fresno Academy 0–3 → FC Fresno Academy lost to City SC Kings County 0–2 → City SC Kings County beat Stanislaus Surf 4–2
- -4Bay Area Surf lost to East Bay United 0–3 → East Bay United drew with Diablo Valley Futbol Club 2–2 → Diablo Valley Futbol Club lost to Stanislaus Surf 0–1
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Stanislaus Surf · NorCal BU14 standings