Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 04:30 PM
East Coast Surf SC 3–1 Select
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 40% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 40% home, 22% draw, 38% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | East Coast Surf SC | Select |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-1 | 5-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W W | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at SUSA FC ACADEMY | 4–0 vs SUSA FC ACADEMY |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs Manhattan SC | 1–3 at East Coast Surf SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.93 | +0.98 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | -0.47 |
Already met this season: Oct 3 3–1 (home for East Coast Surf SC)
Common opponents: AC Connecticut — East Coast Surf SC 4–2; Select 2–0. SUSA FC ACADEMY — East Coast Surf SC 4–1; Select 4–0. Manhattan SC — East Coast Surf SC 0–1; Select 3–1.
What's at stake
| East Coast Surf SC | Select | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 3rd |
| Games left | 17 | 16 |
| Chance of top 4 | 62% | 79% |
| Chance of 1st | 3% | 7% |
| Average finish | 4.0 | 3.3 |
How the results connect
8 chains
2 favour East Coast Surf SC, 5 favour Select, 1 even; average margin -0.9 goals toward East Coast Surf SC.
- +2East Coast Surf SC beat Select 3–1
- 0East Coast Surf SC beat AC Connecticut 4–2 → AC Connecticut lost to Select 0–2
- -1East Coast Surf SC beat SUSA FC ACADEMY 4–1 → SUSA FC ACADEMY lost to Select 0–4
- -3East Coast Surf SC lost to Manhattan SC 0–1 → Manhattan SC lost to Select 1–3
- -1East Coast Surf SC beat AC Connecticut 4–2 → AC Connecticut lost to Manhattan SC 1–2 → Manhattan SC lost to Select 1–3
- -2East Coast Surf SC lost to Manhattan SC 0–1 → Manhattan SC beat AC Connecticut 2–1 → AC Connecticut lost to Select 0–2
Full picture: East Coast Surf SC · Select · New England BU14 standings