Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 10:00 AM
Alabama FC Huntsville 2–3 Mississippi Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 16% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 72% home, 12% draw, 16% away, most likely 4–2.
| Season so far | Alabama FC Huntsville | Mississippi Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-3 | 6-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.88 | 1.73 |
| Goals for / game | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L W W | D W W W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 vs Germantown Legends | 4–1 at Lobos Rush |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at Alabama FC | 1–10 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.75 | -0.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.35 | +0.11 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 2–3 (home for Alabama FC Huntsville)
Common opponents: North Georgia Soccer Academy — Alabama FC Huntsville 7–2, 3–2; Mississippi Surf 1–4, 1–1. Lobos Rush — Alabama FC Huntsville 4–1; Mississippi Surf 4–1, 2–1. Germantown Legends — Alabama FC Huntsville 6–0; Mississippi Surf 3–1, 3–1. Tennessee SC — Alabama FC Huntsville 4–2; Mississippi Surf 1–6, 0–4. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Alabama FC Huntsville 3–4; Mississippi Surf 3–1, 1–10.
What's at stake
| Alabama FC Huntsville | Mississippi Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 5th |
| Games left | 8 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 87% | 8% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.7 | 5.3 |
How the results connect
57 chains
35 favour Alabama FC Huntsville, 18 favour Mississippi Surf, 4 even; average margin +2.0 goals toward Alabama FC Huntsville.
- -1Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Mississippi Surf 2–3
- 0Alabama FC Huntsville beat Lobos Rush 4–1 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Surf 1–4
- +1Alabama FC Huntsville beat North Georgia Soccer Academy 3–2 → North Georgia Soccer Academy drew with Mississippi Surf 1–1
- +2Alabama FC Huntsville beat Lobos Rush 4–1 → Lobos Rush lost to Mississippi Surf 1–2
- -3Alabama FC Huntsville lost to Tennessee SC Murfreesboro 3–4 → Tennessee SC Murfreesboro lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
- +4Alabama FC Huntsville beat Germantown Legends 6–0 → Germantown Legends lost to Mississippi Surf 1–3
Full picture: Alabama FC Huntsville · Mississippi Surf · Mid-America BU18/19 standings