Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 01:00 PM
Mississippi Surf 2–1 Lobos Rush
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 53% chance. Pre-match odds were 53% home, 19% draw, 27% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-1-4 | 2-1-6 |
| Points per game | 1.73 | 0.78 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W L | W L L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Lobos Rush | 4–0 at Germantown Legends |
| Worst loss | 1–10 at Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0–6 at Alabama FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.70 | -1.04 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.11 | -0.34 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 4–1 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 3 2–1 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 3–1, 3–1; Lobos Rush 2–0, 4–0. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 3–1, 1–10; Lobos Rush 1–3. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 1–6, 0–4; Lobos Rush 0–4. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 3–2; Lobos Rush 1–4.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 5th | 7th |
| Games left | 5 | 7 |
| Chance of top 4 | 9% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 5.3 | 7.2 |
How the results connect
70 chains
34 favour Mississippi Surf, 28 favour Lobos Rush, 8 even; average margin +0.4 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- +1Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 2–1
- +3Mississippi Surf beat Lobos Rush 4–1
- 0Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 0–2
- 0Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC 0–4 → Tennessee SC beat Lobos Rush 4–0
- 0Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 3–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 0–2
- -1Mississippi Surf lost to Tennessee SC 1–6 → Tennessee SC beat Lobos Rush 4–0
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Lobos Rush · Mid-America BU18/19 standings