Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 4–4 Germantown Legends
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 35% home, 15% draw, 50% away, most likely 3–3.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Germantown Legends |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-4-6 | 1-1-6 |
| Points per game | 0.64 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| Goals against / game | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 3 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D D L D L | L D L W L |
| Biggest win | 4–3 at Germantown Legends | 5–2 at Lobos Rush |
| Worst loss | 1–9 vs Tennessee SC Murfreesboro | 0–4 at Tennessee SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.07 | -1.15 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.02 | -0.38 |
Already met this season: Aug 22 4–3 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 4 4–4 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Lobos Rush — Mississippi Surf 2–5, 5–6; Germantown Legends 5–2, 1–4. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 1–9; Germantown Legends 1–5. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 2–2; Germantown Legends 0–4. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–6; Germantown Legends 1–3.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Germantown Legends | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 10th |
| Games left | 7 | 10 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 0% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 9.3 | 8.9 |
How the results connect
51 chains
18 favour Mississippi Surf, 28 favour Germantown Legends, 5 even; average margin -1.3 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- 0Mississippi Surf drew with Germantown Legends 4–4
- +1Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 4–3
- 0Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 2–5 → Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 4–1
- +2Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 5–6 → Lobos Rush beat Germantown Legends 4–1
- -4Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–6 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat Germantown Legends 3–1
- -4Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 5–6 → Lobos Rush lost to Germantown Legends 2–5
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Germantown Legends · Mid-America BU17 standings