Result · Saturday, Oct 3, 11:00 AM
Mississippi Surf 1–4 Lobos Rush
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 84% chance. Pre-match odds were 6% home, 11% draw, 84% away, most likely 0–3.
| Season so far | Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-11 | 4-2-3 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 1.56 |
| Goals for / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 7 | 5 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W W L L D |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Germantown Legends | 6–0 vs Mississippi Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–9 at Tennessee SC | 0–7 at Alabama FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.51 | +0.25 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.13 | -0.25 |
Already met this season: Aug 23 0–6 (away for Mississippi Surf); Oct 3 1–4 (home for Mississippi Surf)
Common opponents: Germantown Legends — Mississippi Surf 2–1, 2–3; Lobos Rush 0–0, 3–0. Tennessee SC Murfreesboro — Mississippi Surf 1–2, 0–3; Lobos Rush 3–0. Tennessee SC — Mississippi Surf 0–8, 0–9; Lobos Rush 0–1. Alabama FC Huntsville — Mississippi Surf 0–3; Lobos Rush 0–3.
What's at stake
| Mississippi Surf | Lobos Rush | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 10th | 4th |
| Games left | 6 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 0% | 74% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 10.0 | 4.3 |
How the results connect
74 chains
12 favour Mississippi Surf, 55 favour Lobos Rush, 7 even; average margin -2.7 goals toward Mississippi Surf.
- -3Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 1–4
- -6Mississippi Surf lost to Lobos Rush 0–6
- 0Mississippi Surf lost to Alabama FC Huntsville 0–3 → Alabama FC Huntsville beat Lobos Rush 3–0
- -1Mississippi Surf lost to Germantown Legends 2–3 → Germantown Legends drew with Lobos Rush 0–0
- +1Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 2–1 → Germantown Legends drew with Lobos Rush 0–0
- -2Mississippi Surf beat Germantown Legends 2–1 → Germantown Legends lost to Lobos Rush 0–3
Full picture: Mississippi Surf · Lobos Rush · Mid-America BU16 standings