Result · Wednesday, Oct 21, 05:30 PM
Toca Fusion Elite 0–4 Kansas City Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 68% chance. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 15% draw, 68% away, most likely 1–3.
| Season so far | Toca Fusion Elite | Kansas City Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-2 | 7-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.4 | 6.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 at FC Wichita | 10–1 at Union KC Soccer Club Red |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Kansas City Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.50 | +3.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.06 | -0.61 |
Already met this season: Oct 21 0–4 (home for Toca Fusion Elite)
Common opponents: St. Louis Stars SC — Toca Fusion Elite 2–1; Kansas City Surf 2–1. Missouri Rush — Toca Fusion Elite 2–0; Kansas City Surf 8–0. Union KC Soccer Club Red — Toca Fusion Elite 7–0; Kansas City Surf 10–1. Union KC Soccer Club Navy — Toca Fusion Elite 4–2; Kansas City Surf 7–1. FC Wichita — Toca Fusion Elite 10–0; Kansas City Surf 5–0.
What's at stake
| Toca Fusion Elite | Kansas City Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 1st |
| Games left | 10 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 87% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 92% |
| Average finish | 3.5 | 1.1 |
How the results connect
35 chains
8 favour Toca Fusion Elite, 24 favour Kansas City Surf, 3 even; average margin -2.7 goals toward Toca Fusion Elite.
- -4Toca Fusion Elite lost to Kansas City Surf 0–4
- 0Toca Fusion Elite beat St. Louis Stars SC 2–1 → St. Louis Stars SC lost to Kansas City Surf 1–2
- -2Toca Fusion Elite beat Union KC Soccer Club Red 7–0 → Union KC Soccer Club Red lost to Kansas City Surf 1–10
- -4Toca Fusion Elite beat Union KC Soccer Club Navy 4–2 → Union KC Soccer Club Navy lost to Kansas City Surf 1–7
- +5Toca Fusion Elite beat FC Wichita 10–0 → FC Wichita lost to Kansas City Surf 0–5
- -6Toca Fusion Elite beat Missouri Rush 2–0 → Missouri Rush lost to Kansas City Surf 0–8
Full picture: Toca Fusion Elite · Kansas City Surf · Heartland BU13 standings