Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 02:00 PM
Folsom Lake Surf 0–2 San Juan SC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 36% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 42% home, 22% draw, 36% away, most likely 1–1.
| Season so far | Folsom Lake Surf | San Juan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-2 | 5-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.14 | 2.29 |
| Goals for / game | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L L | W W D W W |
| Biggest win | 10–0 vs Mustang Soccer -RL | 3–0 at Mustang Soccer -RL |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Placer United | 1–2 at Association FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.63 | +1.10 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.64 | -0.58 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 0–2 (home for Folsom Lake Surf)
Common opponents: Mustang Soccer -RL — Folsom Lake Surf 10–0, 3–1; San Juan SC 3–0. Davis Legacy — Folsom Lake Surf 4–1; San Juan SC 1–1. Placer United — Folsom Lake Surf 1–3; San Juan SC 2–0. Association FC — Folsom Lake Surf 3–2; San Juan SC 1–2. Club America Nido Aguila | Valley — Folsom Lake Surf 8–1; San Juan SC 3–0, 4–1.
What's at stake
| Folsom Lake Surf | San Juan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 8 | 9 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 25% | 36% |
| Average finish | 2.5 | 2.1 |
How the results connect
39 chains
23 favour Folsom Lake Surf, 13 favour San Juan SC, 3 even; average margin +1.4 goals toward Folsom Lake Surf.
- -2Folsom Lake Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–2
- -1Folsom Lake Surf beat Mustang Soccer -RL 3–1 → Mustang Soccer -RL lost to San Juan SC 0–3
- +2Folsom Lake Surf beat Association FC 3–2 → Association FC beat San Juan SC 2–1
- +3Folsom Lake Surf beat Davis Legacy 4–1 → Davis Legacy drew with San Juan SC 1–1
- +4Folsom Lake Surf beat Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 8–1 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley lost to San Juan SC 0–3
- +4Folsom Lake Surf beat Club America Nido Aguila | Valley 8–1 → Club America Nido Aguila | Valley lost to San Juan SC 1–4
Full picture: Folsom Lake Surf · San Juan SC · Golden State BU14 standings