Manta
ECNL Regional League Boys · GLA BU16 · 9 teams · Manta United Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 12:00 PM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Manta | Canton Force |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Canton Force average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Canton Force game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Manta – Canton Force) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 4 | 1st▲ up 4 | 3rd▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 3 | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th▼ down 4 | 9th▼ down 4 | 9th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 11%
- 2nd 11%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 11%
- 9th 11%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.40) | Already ahead |
| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 4 | Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 14 12:00 PM |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 12:00 PM |
T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 5 12:00 PM |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 PM |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 12:00 PM |
Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Victory Park in North Ridgeville · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 TBD |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 PM |
Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 PM |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home SMS |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 02:00 PM |
Nationals SC Capital Area Grey 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Capital Sportsplex Lansing |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
GTFC Impact 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Nationals SC 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Thu May 6 12:00 PM |
Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Serpentini Stadium · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 09:00 AM |
Pacesetter Soccer Club 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Darice |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Canton Force 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
T3FC West 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canton Force | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Manta · Sun Nov 22 at Nationals SC Capital Area Grey · Wed Dec 2 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Wed Dec 2 vs Canton Force · Sat Dec 5 at Manta · Sat Dec 12 vs Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | GTFC Impact | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 5 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sun Dec 6 at T3FC West · Sat Dec 12 at Manta See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 5 vs T3FC West · Sun Dec 6 vs Canton Force See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Manta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Canton Force · Sun Nov 15 vs T3FC West · Sat Dec 5 vs Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Nationals SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Dec 12 vs Canton Force · Sat Mar 6 at Manta See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Nationals SC Capital Area Grey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Canton Force · Sun Dec 6 at Pacesetter Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 at Cuyahoga Valley Soccer Academy See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Pacesetter Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 14 at Nationals SC · Sun Nov 15 at Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central · Sat Dec 5 at GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | T3FC West | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 15 at Manta · Sat Dec 5 at Liverpool FC IA Michigan Central · Sun Dec 6 vs GTFC Impact See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.